3/30/2024 0 Comments Solidworks 2012 download 64 bit
0 Comments
Photoshop and Lightroom are both excellent photo editing software options, but they’re not the only ones out there. You can process a photo in Lightroom and then press command E or control E to pass it off to Photoshop, where you can fine-tune it. The two are designed to work seamlessly with each other. Knowing the differences between Lightroom and Photoshop will help you to pick the best image editor for a given project, but in many cases, it’s not an either-or decision. Layers can present a learning curve compared to Lightroom’s universal adjustment sliders, but they are excellent for managing post-production work. You might have a layer for your colour or white balance adjustment, a layer with a moody sky, a layer with a blue sky and so on, all stacked on top of your original image. Build upon your image using layers and layer masking, which you can adjust and refine, knowing that the layers contain your image's original information. Like non-destructive Lightroom workflows, you can work in a non-destructive manner in Photoshop by taking advantage of Layers and Smart Objects. Photoshop filters, layers, masking and transform controls are the basic building blocks for editing images. Graphic designers can combine images with text and vector graphics, while illustrators can reimagine photos to make an entirely new creation. You can remove distracting objects with Content-Aware technology or combine multiple photos for a composite, creating surreal or photo-real images from multiple photos. ![]() Photoshop features editing tools aimed at altering the look and content of a photo to a much greater degree than Lightroom. One way to think about it is that Lightroom stays true to photography, while Photoshop lets you create the images in your mind’s eye. Photo retouchers, fine artists or compositing artists may start in Lightroom but will ultimately rely on Photoshop to do the bulk of the transformation. Photoshop is the best choice for images where you want pixel-level perfection. Whereas Lightroom is focused on organising and processing photos, Photoshop ventures into image manipulation, creation and enhancement. The same goes for beginning work in Lightroom with JPEG files. If you work with raw files, you’ll benefit from the flexibility raw images give you when editing, without losing the original data. Lightroom uses non-destructive editing, which means you can make changes to a photo without permanently altering the original file. Without moving to Photoshop, you can also whiten teeth, reduce red-eye and use a healing brush to remove blemishes. You can create your own presets or download a wide variety of presets via the Discovery Interactive Edits feature. Lightroom presets are a time-saving feature that makes light work of applying the same settings to one or countless images, known as batch edits. Enhance the light and colour, correct perspective, sharpen and add creative effects to make your images shine. Here you can tweak your settings to improve every aspect of your photo. Lightroom even has keywording and search options to find the exact photo you need.Īfter you've imported your files, move to the Develop module to enhance and edit photos. Rate photos to identify the best shots and work with albums and collections to manage photoshoots and projects. You can efficiently organise, manage and find photos in a library-like catalogue. ![]() Many photographers begin the editing process with Lightroom, because it excels at handling large amounts of photos, so you can get more work done more quickly. One of Lightroom’s most important features is image management. Lightroom stores your files in the cloud, allowing you to seamlessly transition your workspace from laptop to tablet to phone or from couch to coffee shop. ![]() Lightroom Classic is a desktop-based programme for photos stored locally, such as on your external or computer hard drive. You can choose between Lightroom and Adobe Photoshop Lightroom Classic. Unlike Photoshop, which caters to a variety of creative disciplines, Lightroom is specifically built to efficiently handle a professional photographer’s workflow, from photo management to finishing touches. You can think of Lightroom as your starting point for post-processing. …& others will use their own choice of picture editor such as Photoshop. Do you happen to know how well Gimp keeps up with other image creators/editors? But I thought it was worth it to see what replies I’d get. I suspect the lack of replies you've got to this post from other users is because they don't use it,… Whilst I’m still learning, I have found it quite responsive and acceptable to use. I thought that VEGAS Image would be a better alternative to both PSP 18 and MS PowerPoint. However, the UI of PSP 18 is quite sluggish, even on a somewhat decent PC like mine (see sig below). I do have Corel PaintShop Pro 18 and have used that for different things. Well, I used to use MS PowerPoint to create my graphics. I'm 55, I've been a UK joiner for 39yrs, apprentice trained & time served, I make videos about my work & post them on Youtube so that I can share what I've learnt over the yrs,Īt the moment my filming is done with a Samsung Galaxy S23 UltraĪt the moment my filming is done with a Samsung Galaxy S23 can I ask why you're using Vegas Image? Graphics MSI GeForce RTX 3090 SUPRIM X 24GB OC GPUĪSUS ROG Thor 1200W Semi-Modular 80+ Platinum PSUįractal Design Define 7 XL Dark TG Case with 3 Fansĭell SE3223Q 31.5 Inch 4K UHD (3840x2160) Monitor, 60Hz, (programs on one, project files on the other) Magix Movie Studio Platinum 2024 - from 2004-ish - Latest version,ĭesktop PC Microsoft Windows 10 Pro - 64-BitĪSUS PRO WS WRX80E-SAGE SE WIFI AMD MotherboardĪMD Ryzen Threadripper PRO 3975WX 3.5GHz 32 CoreĬorsair iCUE H150i RGB PRO XT 360mm All-in-One Liquid CPU Cooler So, I will try your suggestion and report back. It looks alright but, obviously, having it attached to the layer or shape would be the most desirable. I currently have it set up where I’ve created another layer and resized and softened it to make look like a shadow underneath the layer where I want to have a drop shadow. I’ll definitely look at following your suggestion. Thanks for taking the time to reply, I greatly appreciate it. A drop shadow is what I was and am after (I just forgot the technical name for it). have a look a Group (right click a layer, Group from Selection, then apply the long shadow or outer glow to the Group) That being saidf, there are methopds for turning masked shapes on a layer into a shaped layer. However, again, it is applied to the shape of the layer, not to shapes on the layer. I.e, sadly, not a shadow of a shape on a layerīut even with that, we are talking about a long shadow rather than a drop shadow, and it sounds like you are looking for a drop shadow effect, which you can achieve through the Outer Glow effect (it has a drop shadow preset, or you can customise to get it looking the way you want). We are all here to help and learn together.Īnd, if you really want to get into music visualization.Maybe this extract from the manual will help: "Generates a cast shadow based on the shape of your layer" Don't be shocked if you post your masterpiece and people have a few useful suggestions for you. As such, we encourage an atmosphere of helpful critique. This community is meant to be a place of helpfulness. If you are here for a critique of your work Screenshots and/or videos of the thing you want to create It includes things such as:Įxact version of AE you use - not just "CS6" or "CC" or even "CC 2019", but the actual version number (for example, 11.0.4 or 12.2.1 or 13.2.0 or 13.7.2 or 13.8.1 or 17.0.2) However, for useful help, please provide as much info as possible. Once you've gone through that, here are some other helpful resources: A foundation in the basics now will prevent much frustration later. ![]() ![]() If you'd like to join us on Discord, you can do it here! Are you looking for critiques for your piece or are you showing off someone else's work that you've found that is inspirationally excellent? If you post a video, please explain in the title of your post why you're posting it. We are not here to be sold to or spammed, so no posting of your AE templates, please. We're here to help with your After Effects problems, critique your pieces, and sometimes provide a spot of inspiration. Don't downvote a relevant submission you simply don't like kindly explain in a comment how it could be improved - anonymous downvotes don't help anybody. Hopefully, the next version of Element 3D isn’t too far away (it’s hard to believe that it’s been over 3 years since the last version).Īs well as an Element 3D update, Andrew has also hinted that some brand new plugins are on their way in recent interviews with The Collective podcast and Blender Guru. High quality After Effects Video Tutorials for motion graphics and visual effects presented by Andrew Kramer I finally got tired of doing this manually, so we created a free script What is this script for The 3D Pre-Compose Script makes it easy to pre-co. I’m sure there are thousands of Video Copilot fans out there who are desperate to repay the Video Copilot team for their generosity, by purchasing new and exciting paid plugins created by them. ![]() New Paid Video Copilot Products On the Horizon? Let’s also not forget the incredible Saber plugin – another free Video Copilot plugin that can not only replicate the Light Saber effect from Star Wars but also has numerous other uses such as dynamic text with neon lighting FX. ![]() The new ORB After Effects plugin follows on the heels of other fantastic free Video Copilot plugins such as FX Console, which has become the go-to plugin to improve your productivity inside of After Effects. The ORB plugin is expected to be available sometime next week (week beginning 17 September 2018.) Other Amazing Free Video Copilot Plugins Be sure to mix it with additional particle effects like this crazy energy ball Download Smoke Elements. These are pretty incredible features, especially when you consider ORB will be 100% free! This means that advanced bump maps, automatic shadow illumination and environment reflections can also be used. They have used their extensive knowledge of GPU rendering and some of the technology behind their Element 3D plugin to create a whole new plugin specifically aimed at creating 3D sphere and planet type FX.Īs the new plugin is based around GPU rendering, it means it will be able to render physically based materials. High quality After Effects Video Tutorials for motion graphics and visual effects presented by Andrew Kramer Looks like we are having another free stock footage day that includes 15 new HD (720p) particle clips and a quick tutorial with some compositing tip. Due to the 3D limitations of CC Sphere, the Video Copilot team decided to create something much more ambitious. ![]() Typominal - Digital Typewriter Text Preset. It will be capable of creating not only amazingly detailed planets but also atmospheres and other 3D based spherical objects.Īpparently, the project began as a Video Copilot tutorial using the After Effects built-in CC Sphere effect. Here are 15 free After Effects plugins that you can download to use for CC or CS5/6. ADVANCED 3D OBJECT & PARTICLE RENDER ENGINE. ORB – a free After Effects plugin aims to be the ultimate planet creation tool. FREE PLUGINS DOWNLOAD OTHER GREAT PLUG-INS, NOW ORB is a Powerful New After Effects Plug-in to Create Detailed 3D Spheres and Planets, but be sure to check out our other amazing free Plug-Ins, too Download FX Console. Forgot Password About Video Copilot Account. Direction Lightning Movement Dynamic Reflections with realistic falloff. Well, Andrew Kramer and his amazing team over at Video Copilot look like they are about to blow the minds of the VFX community yet again, with ANOTHER exciting free plugin- ORB. High quality After Effects Video Tutorials for motion graphics and visual effects presented by Andrew Kramer.
3/29/2024 0 Comments Best free solitaire games for ipadCheck out our app review for more details on this cool Solitaire game. The undo feature allows you to wipe out the last move, the app supports Game Center, and each of the versions of the game come with the rules so you can learn them all. If you want to play Solitaire online or on a Mac, here are nine games that you can play for free. Many of these games can be found in the App Store. Some popular options include FreeCell, Pyramid, and Spider Solitaire. Some of the features include an auto-save function, an auto-resume to your last display, the app keeps track of your statistics, share your score on Twitter and Facebook, and let the app auto-complete your moves. Yes, there are many free solitaire games for iPad. These games all feel unique and challenging in their own way and are sure to change how you look at Solitaire. Its an addictive mash-up of Super Smash Bros. Your goal is to basically bounce your enemy into oblivion. The Solitaire app provides players with 36 of the most frequently played versions of the game and it's all free. In the free iPad game Oddman, you get to control wobbly, round fighters. Try the BEST FREE SOLITAIRE card app, which is beautiful and fun like old classic Windows Solitaire. Im a fan of a larger screen when gaming, so when Im not on a console or PC, I. You can play Apple Arcade games on iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple TV, and Apple Vision Pro. draw a card from the Reserve if there are no more possibles moves.If you're getting tired of the same old same old when it comes to solitaire there are plenty of ways to inject some life and modern twists into the game. You can play Elder Scrolls: Blades on iPad for free. Apple Arcade is a game subscription service that offers unlimited access to a growing collection of over 200 premium games featuring new releases, award winners, and beloved favorites from the App Store, all without ads or in-app purchases.when useful, you can take a card from one of the 4 F oundations, and place it on the T ableau.you can move descending sequences of any number of cards to another pile, or move an entire pile to a new cell. The best free games for iPad, iPad Pro, iPad Air and iPad mini.Solitaire has: - Classic Draw 1 Card Mode. ![]() Its classic fun Solitaire (Klondike or Patience).
3/29/2024 0 Comments Video email from gmail![]() All calls happen within Gmail and don't redirect elsewhere. You'll create a virtual meeting and share the link. In addition to what you love about Gmail, you get a custom email address (), unlimited group email addresses, 99.9 guaranteed uptime, twice the storage of personal Gmail, zero ads, 24/7 support, Google Workspace Sync for Microsoft Outlook, and more. Another way to call people in Gmail is to use the Meet tab in the lower-right corner. Gmail is part of Google Workspace where you can choose from different plans. ![]() However, the Space tab lets you search for people outside your group, and you can voice call them. You can't voice call multiple people at once. With Mail Drop, you can send files with sizes up to 5 GB. When the file is attached, the file will turn from transparent to solid. When selected, click Open or double-click the file to attach it to your email. Theres no need to click on a thumbnail of the video before it plays Recipients using legacy Microsoft Outlook on Windows will see a static image instead. Depending on its location in your computer, you may have to navigate to its location. ![]() Non-Chrome users can accept the call as usual, but it doesn't ring out loud. Videos play automatically at the moment the email is opened, on 99 of email inboxes, including Apple Mail, Gmail, Yahoo Mail, and most versions of Outlook. As Chrome is Google's official browser, other users receive a ring when you call them. It works similarly if you use a personal computer. However, they see a notification that you called. If you call someone from your mobile phone or tablet, they'll hear their phone ring as long as they have Gmail installed. If not, you'll need to upload the video to Google Drive and then send the person a link to the video file. Wenn du und der Empfänger einen Gmail-Account haben, kannst du Google Drive nutzen, um das Video hochzuladen und zu teilen. If the video is 25 megabytes or less, you can send it as a normal attachment. Wenn du eine große Videodatei per E-Mail verschicken willst, hast du verschiedene Möglichkeiten. If you don't see the Chat tab in Gmail, activate it from the settings menu. This wikiHow teaches you how to send a video clip to someone's email address using Gmail. When you open a conversation, you'll see voice and video call icons in the upper-right corner of your screen. Key Moments 00:00 Introduction01:03 Creating the embedded. In this guide, I’ll explain how to embed a video in an email in Gmail. You don't need their phone number, but they must have a Google account. I’ll click on the send button to send that email off. Step 1: Click Share on the YouTube video.You can call someone from Gmail via the Chat tab. Either way, you can quickly embed a YouTube video into emails in just a few steps. Got a funny cat video to send to a colleague? Or maybe you have a new “How To” video on YouTube you want to share with email contacts. A video link is a unique reference that allows people to view your video. There are two ways to embed a video in Gmail: (1) a YouTube link, and (2) Google Drive. How to send a video through email using a video link. Let’s look at a few different ways to embed videos in emails. Use this guide to learn how to embed video in emails with different mail clients, and get contacts to hit that play button and engage with your brand. It’s an entertaining method for connecting with contacts and can help drive your email marketing campaigns to greater success. With eight out of every 10 people purchasing an item after watching a brand’s video, expanding into this channel is an opportunity you don’t want to miss.Įmbedded video is a great way to adapt to modern consumer behavior. On top of that, marketers with a video strategy generate 66% more qualified leads yearly than those who don’t. An estimated 85% of all internet users in the U.S. 6 Click on the send button to send the email. 5 Add a message to the body of the email and attach any attachments. 3 Enter your recipient’s Yahoo email address in the recipient’s field. It’s become the leading source of all IP traffic, taking up 82% of all internet visits. 2 Click the compose button at the top left of the page. Attach the Video: Click on the paperclip icon to attach files.If your file is larger than 20 MB, consider uploading it to OneDrive first and then sharing the link. Compose a New Email: Click on the New Message button. On the Gmail website, click the 'All Mail' label, and in the app, tap the hamburger menu and select 'All Mail.' Use the Gmail search bar to locate archived emails by typing keywords or using advanced search filters like '-in:Sent -in:Draft -in. ![]() The process for Outlook is similar to that of Gmail: Attach a video to Outlook. Archived emails will disappear from your main Gmail inbox but can be found in the 'All Mail' folder. Including video marketing as part of your digital strategy is unavoidable for the modern marketer. How to Send a Video through Email via Outlook. 3/29/2024 0 Comments Total war rome 2 factions units![]() P oor starting naval technology and sailing skills They lost plenty of battles and entire armies and fleets, but just recruited another one every time. It was manpower above anything else that won Rome their wars with the Italian celts and the Punic wars. I think the strategic level strengths and weaknesses should have been reflected tooĮ.g Romans - Vast military manpower. Numidia-excellent light cavalry and infantry ![]() Units expensive and mercenaries low moraled Suebi-Excellent shock infantry, plus light infantryĭacia-Excellent armoured heavy infantry, mercenary cavalry, Falxmen and light infantry Lack of cavalry, very low morale infantry Iberians-Excellent heavy and light cavarly, good light infanry and cavarlyīriton-Excellent chariots and light infantry Units expensive and not all in high quality/loyal(like Pyhruss' Italian troops)Īverni- Good swordsmen and heavily armoured champion WarriorsĬheaper Units poorly armoured and low morale, poor cavalry Little focus on light infantry and missile troops.Įpirus: Excellent heavy cavalry and elephants Sparta: Excellent well trained, disciplined, well armoured Hoplites, Parthian Empire: Excellent Heavy,powerful,well armoured(Cataphracts) and Light Cavalry horse archers with deadly bowsĪthens: Thorax, Theros and old Hoplites, excellent light infantry/light cavalry Phtolemic Empire: Excellent Phalanx and Roman styled LegionairesĬavalry weaker than most Hellenstic kingdoms, most units are mercenaries. ![]() Greek native units are expensive, most mercenary units are in less quality and morale(as Appian mentions the Galatians) Selucid Empire: All well rounded units with power Heavy cavalry, Phalangites, and mixture of Eastern mercenaries plus elephants and horse archers. Macedon: Powerful Shock cavalry along deadly infantry phalanxes backed up by light infantry and missle troops from all of Greek peoples.Ĭavalry expensive(lack of nobles serving in Companion cavalry) and Phalanx units are weak on the flanks without proper command and unit placement. Top tier Units are more expensive, cheaper units have lower morale,(like citizen militia) lack of variety missile infantry.(like archers) Citizen and Socii cavalry expensive and low numbered(lack of horses in Italy)Ĭarthage: Flexible, versitle Heavy and light cavalry, a mixture of Heavy, shock, and Light infantry along with elephants. Backed up by decent light Auxilia cavalry and a variety of missle troops from Empire.Īuxilia cavalry not meant to handle melee and shock charge. Rome: Powerful, disciplined, well armoured Legionaires. 3/29/2024 0 Comments Live wallpaper hd anime![]() Zedge offers everything like Anime and other concept wallpapers, video wallpapers, ringtones, and notification sounds. It’s available on all the platforms, so you can browse wallpapers for both mobile and desktop. Zedge needs no introduction as it’s a top choice for many and one of the oldest sources on the internet. Get Anime Wallpaper Download Anime Wallpapers for Desktop 5. Vampire Satoru Gojo In Mask At Night(Jujutsu Kaisen) 4K. It removes ads and gives access to some premium wallpapers. Anime Live Wallpapers () Fantasy Girl With Flowers 4K. This one also has a VIP version which will set you back by $3.99. You might like the fact that unlike the previous one, you don’t have to pay to use the search option though. You can use this to add filters to the wallpaper and change the color. I’ll come straight to the differences beginning with the native filter section. Well, I know they all sound the same but there are tons of differences between these two. This will also unlock the search feature. You can remove ads by buying unlimited access which comes at a $9.99 one-time fee. There two quirky features which are blur wallpaper and lock screen preview, which puts the wallpaper in perspective before you save and use it.Īlthough you can save the wallpapers, there is a 30-second ad that you have to watch. Similar to the previous apps, you can view wallpapers in a scrollable gallery. This anime wallpaper app has one of the cleanest app UIs which is a plus. Get Anime Wallpaper Download Anime Wallpapers for iOS 3. Talking about ads, banner ads appear when you’re scrolling through the gallery but it can be ignored as it doesn’t pop up as frequently or take up much screen space. The app has a unique color palette section where you can browse wallpapers falling under the same color You can pinch and zoom the image as well as rotate it natively. On the home page, you can toggle between recommended, popular, and random wallpapers. It has a very neat UI unlike most Anime apps on the Google Play Store. The app shows one banner ad when you’re applying the wallpaper and that’s it. The best part is that you can download the wallpaper in multiple resolutions. The UI has a search function in case you don’t want to browse through endless categories. With over 1 million wallpapers (you can keep scrolling) and 950+ Anime categories, you can rest assured that you’ll find your favorite character in no time. This is a one-stop solution if you’re on Android and looking for a minimal app to download Anime wallpapers. If there's not, then thank you for taking the time to read this post.Download Anime Wallpapers for Android 1. If there's any way anyone can help me, then I'd greatly appreciate it if you did. I created a persona.ini file within the folder, and made the text match that of the waterfall video, with changes made to the "Name" "Author" and "Version" sections. I put in my video, and thumbnail, both renamed to fit the files in the waterfall wallpaper. I extracted the files in its zip to my desktop, and created a new folder. ![]() I downloaded the animated wallpaper with the waterfall. My process is as follows, if that may shed any light on this. The file explorer closes when I click to open the file, but the browser itself doesn't seem to have any desire to recognize it. Whenever I try to load in the wallpaper archive, literally nothing happens. I'm using the latest version of Opera GX (updated on the day I post this, June 2nd). If you have the time, I'd greatly appreciate it if you could help me figure out why I haven't been able to get the results I want. They really do seem to be helpful and well informed, so I think I'm doing something wrong on my end. ![]() I saw your replies in this thread, and another similar thread. Then, in Opera, click the easy-setup button at the right of the address bar, scroll down to the start page section, click "add your wallpaper" and point it to my_theme.zip. You then take personal.ini, the jpeg file, and the webm file and zip them up together into my_theme.zip. So, to make your own animated wallpaper, you create a persona.ini that references a jpeg and a webm file. Open persona.ini in a text editor to see how it references first_frame_start_page.jpeg and video.webm. In it, you'll see persona.ini, first_frame_start_page.jpeg, and video.webm. In the themes folder you'll see "beautiful-waterfall.zip". In the profile folder, there's a themes folder. Close Opera and goto the profile folder in Windows Explorer/File Explorer. Then, goto the URL opera://about and take note of the "profile" path. Burnout426 Volunteer last edited Goto and install that animated wallpaper. 3/29/2024 0 Comments Conan exiles interactive map 2021![]() ![]() Open discussion is encouraged, but your Mods reserve the right to remove posts containing weird gross stuff or other objectionable material.Īll general Reddit rules also apply. Posted at 11:52h in smooth snake scotland by bath fizz powder recipe. conan exiles interactive map 2021 24 Oct. We understand you've spent resources on setting up your community server, but we want to keep this subreddit focused on discussion of the game.Īll posts, comments, and links submitted to this subreddit do not necessarily reflect the views of Conan Properties Intl., Funcom, their staff, or affiliates. At you can find an interactive zoom- and scrollable map for Conan Exiles. conan exiles interactive map 2021 conan exiles interactive map 2021. Please do not publicly explain how to perform exploits against other players. Exiles Forgotten Clan Heirs of the North Lemurians Mitra Relic Hunters Ymirs Children Kappa Nest Thralls. If you have an exploit to report, please PM the moderator team instead. Hyboria is a savage world, but this subreddit doesn't have to be. Personal attacks will not be tolerated.īe mindful of others. The Savage Wilds Discord was established in November 2020 with plans to open to the public once the map was ready for release. ![]() The Exiled Lands in Conan Exiles is the location where the game takes place. Communication and organization are two very important parts of a large project. The Exiled Lands - World Map of Conan Exiles, including Volcano and Swamp biomes. This page contains links to all the interactive maps Ive been able to create for the game Conan Exiles. If you have criticism, please express it in a civil manner. Conan Exiles Maps Conan Exiles Game Guide. Pointless flaming or bashing isn't helpful. Server advertisements belong on /r/ConanExilesServers.īe constructive. Keep posts relevant to Conan Exiles and the world of Hyboria. OUT NOW on PC, Xbox One and PlayStation 4! Our Official Rulesīe on topic. Winterhelm has been a project of mine for the last 3 weeks and it is time to push it out for public feedback and bug fixing. Winterhelm is a cruel environment where you must fight for every resource, every meal and every scrap of warmth in order to survive. I am talking about the one at Mike 10, on the river. Public Beta, Welcome to the Public Beta of Winterhelm a new 8KM map for conan exiles. Resources, Locations, Thralls, Pets and more 2 Likes. Interactive map for Conan Exiles - Isle of Siptah. r/ConanExiles is the official subreddit for Conan Exiles, the open-world survival game set in Robert E. Conan Exiles Interactive Map - Isle of Siptah Conan Exiles Interactive Map - Isle of Siptah. ![]() This is why flexible aggregation across products or over different planning horizons is critical to a company’s ability to leverage the same demand forecast in all their supply chain planning. To effectively execute replenishment, capacity planning, and other business decisions, retailers and CPG companies need multiple forecasts with different levels of granularity that look at different time spans. Why, then, would slow-moving items that sell only a couple of units per location per day, if even that, require the same level of forecast granularity? Even if the day-product-location level forecast for a slow-moving item is itself somewhat inaccurate, forecasting at this level of granularity ultimately makes it easier to aggregate demand-whether for different periods of time, across products (for example, total demand per product per distribution center), or by total demand per product in a month or customer group, etc. Additionally, modeling can help optimize production capacity. Another key benefit of granular forecasting lies in its ability to allow a manufacturer to aggregate data on products that share a certain raw material and create a forecast that will reveal the true amount of materials needed to produce each product, helping them to reduce costs by optimizing bulk purchasing and reducing the number of shipments needed. The benefits of a granular forecast are obvious when thinking of fresh food products whose short shelf-lives sometimes call for intra-day forecasts at the product-location level to prevent spoilage.įor CPG companies, detailed forecasts allow planners to model the effects on demand based on sale or promotional information. Accurate demand forecasts can be leveraged throughout your supply chain to improve decision-making and outcomes in areas such as store and distribution center replenishment, capacity planning, and resource planning.ĭemand forecasts can be developed on different levels of granularity-monthly, weekly, daily, or even hourly-to support different planning processes and business decisions, but highly granular forecasts are always extremely valuable. In practice, this means analyzing the impact of a range of variables that affect demand-from historical demand patterns to internal business decisions and even external factors-to increase the accuracy of these predictions. Introduction: What Is Demand Forecasting, and How Is It Done? 1.1 What is Demand Forecasting?ĭemand forecasting is, in essence, developing the best possible understanding of future demand. In closing, as Supply Chain professional in general and Inventory Planners in specific we need to know our turns but the value that each successive turn will bring in terms of cash generation.Īs usual, we encourage and welcome your comments.1. Here is a graphic version of this progression: What are the savings for each incremental turn? Again we are assuming that COGS are fixed. Management has challenged us to get to 12 turns. If we were at 11 turns currently at the same base of $50M in inventory, the cash benefit diminishes where an additional turn would generate $4.2M in cash. If we are one turn per year, increasing to two turns would generate a whopping $25M in cash. The table below shows the value of an additional turn: Current Inventory $M Let us assume you run a business with $50M in inventory. In fact, as turns increase the savings diminish. We believe that Finance and Supply Chain folks generally have the opinion that a turn accounts for a fixed or set amount of savings or cash generation. The calculation could not be any easier or after having seen it, anymore intuitive. We are assuming that the Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) on which turns are calculated remains fixed. V=Value,savings,or cash generated by increasing T to T+1 turns.I=current quarter or year end inventory.In that way, only those who really want to read it can do so. Besides the business value of answering such a question, getting to the answer allows us to do a bit of math in our blog which we have put in the appendix of this posting. If we are at 7 turns, how much cash will be generated if we get to 8 turns? It seems this would be something worth knowing. They asked “Why do you want to know that?” They followed back with their other stock answer “We do not track that.” This last comment is Finance talk that in truth means, “Why are you bothering me with this ridiculous question. We have asked our partners in finance and they just gave us a blank stare and did what finance people always do. There has never been a good answer to this question. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |